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<channel>
	<title>Trader Tony &#187; Trade update</title>
	<atom:link href="http://tradertony.com/category/trade-update/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://tradertony.com</link>
	<description>Trading isn’t farming, nobody needs a cow to do the “work”. The work is done in the mind.</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Mon, 28 Jun 2010 08:11:56 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<item>
		<title>Market update 7.10.</title>
		<link>http://tradertony.com/market-update-7-10/</link>
		<comments>http://tradertony.com/market-update-7-10/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 06 Jun 2010 13:12:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tradertony</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Market Overview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade update]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[clf]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[distribution]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[metal stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[real trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[resistance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[reversal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SP 500.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[spx]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[spx 500]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[spy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[support]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tradertony.com/?p=1264</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Looking for 104$ (maybe even 103 sometime intraday) for SPY somatime Monday, Tuesday next week. After that expecting to see a reversal day and a rally to 106.50-107.00 later this week. After some rally looking for another push to 102-101$. Need to watch MACD for any hints on divergence. Also please note that for this [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Looking for 104$ (maybe even 103 sometime intraday) for<strong> SPY</strong> somatime Monday, Tuesday next week. After that expecting to see a reversal day and a rally to 106.50-107.00 later this week. After some rally looking for another push to 102-101$.</p>
<p><a href="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/spx2010.png"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1265" title="spy 7.06" src="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/spy-7.06-300x238.gif" alt="" width="300" height="238" /></a></p>
<p>Need to watch MACD for any hints on divergence. Also please note that for this case to be valid, we need to stay below 108$ during trading early next week.</p>
<p>Here is another possibility:</p>
<p><a href="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/spx2010.png"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1266" title="spx2010" src="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/spx2010-300x270.png" alt="" width="300" height="270" /></a></p>
<p>This drop in <strong>SPY </strong>to ~104$ should coincede with the drop of <strong>CLF </strong>to <strong>44.00 </strong>area. This is where I am planning to take some profits off the table. After that I would be looking for a rebound to ~48$ and then another push lower to 38-39.</p>
<p><a href="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/clf-7.06.gif"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1267" title="clf 7.06" src="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/clf-7.06-300x238.gif" alt="" width="300" height="238" /></a> <img src="file:///C:/DOCUME%7E1/Tony/LOCALS%7E1/Temp/moz-screenshot.png" alt="" /></p>
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		<title>S&amp;P 500, EUR/USD, Oil, Gold</title>
		<link>http://tradertony.com/sp-500-eurusd-oil-gold/</link>
		<comments>http://tradertony.com/sp-500-eurusd-oil-gold/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Apr 2010 06:28:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tradertony</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Ideas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market Overview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade update]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[breakout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[buy on pullback]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[distribution]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[eur/usd]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SP 500.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trend following]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tradertony.com/?p=1226</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There is nothing new to add about the S&#38;P 500, we are going up as planned. The good thing for the bulls is that the April has been the best performing month for the last 5- 10 years. The bad thing is that the party is likely over &#8211; the signs of distribution are strong, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There is nothing new to add about the S&amp;P 500, we are going up as planned. The good thing for the bulls is that the April has been the best performing month for the last 5- 10 years. The bad thing is that the party is likely over &#8211; the signs of distribution are strong, and with the current hype in the media about the jobs report I also expect retail investors to jump in &#8211; this would be the time to get out. I personally will be looking for some shorts after the April options Expiration.</p>
<p>Best sectors to be invested in right now are financials and energy.</p>
<p><a href="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/spx1.gif"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1228" title="spx1" src="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/spx1-300x208.gif" alt="" width="300" height="208" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/spx2-5.04.gif"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1227" title="spx2 5.04" src="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/spx2-5.04-300x208.gif" alt="" width="300" height="208" /></a>I expect turbulence to continue in the EUR/USD currency pair. To save the truth, I was looking for 1.37 this week. It looks like I was dead wrong &#8211; even though we&#8217;ve had a nice base in the pair, the jobs report has send it below support lines on Friday and the next likely target is 1.34 &#8211; 1.3350. See the clear H&amp;S pattern on the 1H chart?</p>
<p><a href="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/eurusd2-5.04.gif"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1229" title="eurusd2 5.04" src="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/eurusd2-5.04-300x208.gif" alt="" width="300" height="208" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/eurusd-5.04.gif"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1230" title="eurusd 5.04" src="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/eurusd-5.04-300x208.gif" alt="" width="300" height="208" /></a><strong>Oil </strong>and <strong>Gold </strong>are definitely on the roll here. I continue to believe the yellow metal is going to 1160$ short term. As for the <strong>Black Gold</strong>, I expect it to outperform all the other asset classes. My first target is 90$, looking for 100$ by the beginning of the Summer. The price action from the February to June of last year may serve as a guidance.</p>
<p><a href="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/oil-5.04.gif"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1231" title="oil 5.04" src="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/oil-5.04-300x208.gif" alt="" width="300" height="208" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/gold-5.04.gif"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1232" title="gold 5.04" src="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/gold-5.04-300x208.gif" alt="" width="300" height="208" /></a></p>
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		<title>2007 and 2010 comparison.</title>
		<link>http://tradertony.com/2007-and-2010-comparison/</link>
		<comments>http://tradertony.com/2007-and-2010-comparison/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Mar 2010 21:56:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tradertony</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Market Overview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Potential Setups]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade update]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[comparison]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[history]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nonfarms]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[reversal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[spx]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tradertony.com/?p=1173</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Compare the following two charts from the past and the future. It will be interesting to see whether History repeats itself or not. The chart from December 2007. The recent price action. Tomorrow the Nonfarm Numbers will be announced. I have no idea, whether we will sell off, or gap up higher (I would liek [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Compare the following two charts from the past and the future. It will be interesting to see whether History repeats itself or not.</p>
<p><a href="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/spx-2007-1d.gif"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1174" title="spx 2007 1d" src="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/spx-2007-1d-300x208.gif" alt="" width="300" height="208" /></a>The chart from December 2007.</p>
<p><a href="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/spx-2007-1d.gif"><a href="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/spx-2010-1d.gif"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1175" title="spx 2010 1d" src="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/spx-2010-1d-300x208.gif" alt="" width="300" height="208" /></a></a></p>
<p>The recent price action.</p>
<p>Tomorrow the Nonfarm Numbers will be announced. I have no idea, whether we will sell off, or gap up higher (I would liek to see gap down and then gap close and beyond). Though I am betting we will close lower this time next week.</p>
<p><em>Bailed out of my GS puts for a loss, switched to longs, closed those for a small profit. Bough AAPL puts for a gamble.</em></p>
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		<title>EUR/USD Update.</title>
		<link>http://tradertony.com/eurusd-update-2/</link>
		<comments>http://tradertony.com/eurusd-update-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Mar 2010 12:04:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tradertony</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Trade update]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[eur/usd]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[resistance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[support]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trend following]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wyckoff formation]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tradertony.com/?p=1170</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[1st Resistance at 1.3490. If broken, traget 1.3820. The chart below shows that we are still stuck in a channel.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>1st Resistance at 1.3490. If broken, traget 1.3820. The chart below shows that we are still stuck in a channel.</p>
<p><a href="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/eurusd-1d-3.03.10.gif"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1171" title="eurusd 1d 3.03.10" src="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/eurusd-1d-3.03.10-300x150.gif" alt="" width="300" height="150" /></a></p>
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		<title>SPX Update. Vacuum up to 1128-1130 area.</title>
		<link>http://tradertony.com/spx-update-vacuum-up-to-1128-1130-area/</link>
		<comments>http://tradertony.com/spx-update-vacuum-up-to-1128-1130-area/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Mar 2010 09:56:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tradertony</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Market Overview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade update]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market projection]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market update]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[resistance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[spx]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[spx 500]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tradertony.com/?p=1162</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Markets kept going up slowly during yesterday&#8217;s trading session. We are now right below the resistance. should a breakout occur on Tuesday, we are going to 1130. If there is now breakout today, I would be looking for a pullback to 1105. After that it&#8217;s anyone&#8217;s guess, what will happen next &#8211; a break up [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Markets kept going up slowly during yesterday&#8217;s trading session. We are now right below the resistance. should a breakout occur on Tuesday, we are going to 1130.</p>
<p><a href="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/spx-4h-2.03.10.gif"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1163" title="spx 4h 2.03.10" src="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/spx-4h-2.03.10-300x150.gif" alt="" width="300" height="150" /></a>If there is now breakout today, I would be looking for a pullback to 1105. After that it&#8217;s anyone&#8217;s guess, what will happen next &#8211; a break up to 1130 and possibility of 1150, or a breakdown to 1080-1085.</p>
<p>Here is also a <strong>Volume-Weighted Average Price </strong>(VWAP) chart below. It suggest that there is a lot of Vacuum in the 15 pt. range right above us. So, should the move up happen, it will be FAST.<em></em></p>
<p><em><a href="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/YTD_ES_MP_3.png"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1164" title="YTD_ES_MP_3" src="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/YTD_ES_MP_3-247x300.png" alt="" width="247" height="300" /></a>Still holding my GS puts, as the stock remains under severe pressure.<br />
</em></p>
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		<title>List of Stocks to trade.</title>
		<link>http://tradertony.com/list-of-stocks-to-trade/</link>
		<comments>http://tradertony.com/list-of-stocks-to-trade/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Feb 2010 10:15:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tradertony</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Potential Setups]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade update]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[buy on pullback]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[real trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stocks to buy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trend following]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tradertony.com/?p=1132</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here are some interesting possibilities, with 20-30% upside potencial in the Basic Materials Industry: CDII &#8211; buy at 1.55, stop below 1.45. Will be looking for a 100% return in a couple of months. TIE &#8211; this is a real gem, check out the chart below. Looking for &#62;50% return in a couple of months. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here are some interesting possibilities, with 20-30% upside potencial in the Basic Materials Industry:</p>
<p>CDII &#8211; buy at 1.55, stop below 1.45. Will be looking for a 100% return in a couple of months.</p>
<p>TIE &#8211; this is a real gem, check out the chart below. Looking for &gt;50% return in a couple of months. Buy at 10-11. Stop below 10.40.</p>
<p><a href="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/tie.png"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1135" title="tie" src="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/tie-300x235.png" alt="" width="300" height="235" /></a></p>
<p>ATI &#8211; it represents the same chart pattern as TIE, though expected returns are not that exciting. Thus I would suggest buying some 45@March Call Options in this one. Target ~50$ by March Expiration.</p>
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		<title>Real trades. Update. Market Overview.</title>
		<link>http://tradertony.com/real-trades-update-market-overview/</link>
		<comments>http://tradertony.com/real-trades-update-market-overview/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Feb 2010 22:16:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tradertony</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Ideas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade update]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[real trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stocks to buy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[support]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tradertony.com/?p=1129</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[With the latest dollar uprise and the resistance above, there isn&#8217;t much chances for the market to rally hard by the end of this week. being an expiration week, there will be a lot of option related chop involved, so I would advice active traders to take a break from the market, or to a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With the latest dollar uprise and the resistance above, there isn&#8217;t much chances for the market to rally hard by the end of this week. being an expiration week, there will be a lot of option related chop involved, so I would advice active traders to take a break from the market, or to a least lower the position size.</p>
<p>Today I have made several trades, according to my game plan. Didn&#8217;t trade GOOG though, as it lacks momentum and stayed almost flat through the day.</p>
<p>In fact, I was able to make only two trades (others were not executed, as the price hasn&#8217;t reached my target):</p>
<p>ABVT &#8211; bough February Calls@60 for 0.60$, sold for 1.60$, nice return for a one day&#8217;s work.</p>
<p>ADY &#8211; The main thing, I like this company is its finances &#8211; strong balance sheet, fast growth.I also liek the huge gap above that needs to be closed, thus my target for this stocks is 32$ by next options expiration. Have been accumulating Calls all day long. Average price 1.55 for March@25 calls.</p>
<p><a href="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/ady.png"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1137" title="ady" src="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/ady-300x235.png" alt="" width="300" height="235" /></a></p>
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		<title>Google Trade Update</title>
		<link>http://tradertony.com/google-trade-update/</link>
		<comments>http://tradertony.com/google-trade-update/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Feb 2010 12:24:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tradertony</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Trade update]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[eur/usd]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[goog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market Overview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[options]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[real trade]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tradertony.com/?p=1125</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Still holding the options I bough. Looking for 570$ to be hit this week. Looking for 1100 in SPX by Tuesday/Wendsday. EUR/USD target 1.38 this week, 1.40 next week.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Still holding the options I bough. Looking for 570$ to be hit this week.</p>
<p>Looking for 1100 in SPX by Tuesday/Wendsday.</p>
<p>EUR/USD target 1.38 this week, 1.40 next week.</p>
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		<title>The list of potential plays. Update.</title>
		<link>http://tradertony.com/the-list-of-potential-plays-update/</link>
		<comments>http://tradertony.com/the-list-of-potential-plays-update/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Jan 2010 22:35:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tradertony</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investing Ideas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Potential Setups]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade update]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[buy dips]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[buy on pullback]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[buy support]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stocks to buy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tradertony.com/?p=1103</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This is the update of the list of potential plays from the last week. With the current pullback in the stock market, most of the companies have reached buying levels. Others have breached below their support levels and headed lower and some have already reached their targets. The most remarkable calls were in CPE and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is the update of <a href="http://tradertony.com/the-list-of-potential-plays/" target="_blank">the list of potential plays from the last week.</a></p>
<p>With the current pullback in the stock market, most of the companies have reached buying levels. Others have breached below their support levels and headed lower and some have already reached their targets.</p>
<p>The most remarkable calls were in <strong>CPE </strong>and <strong>DSPG</strong>. Check out the charts:</p>
<p><a href="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/dspg.png"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1105" title="dspg" src="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/dspg-300x235.png" alt="" width="300" height="235" /></a>The <strong>DSPG </strong>stock has made a pullback right to the entry point at 5.80 and then reversed all the way to 7$. It looks like it has some steam left. My target would be 7.75 before any rebound.</p>
<p><a href="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/cep.png"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1104" title="cep" src="http://tradertony.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/cep-300x235.png" alt="" width="300" height="235" /></a><strong>CPE </strong>has risen more than 40% since my call.</p>
<p>Here is the list of the remaining stocks to watch this week:</p>
<p><strong>NTRI<br />
TRA<br />
AGU<br />
TSO<br />
VLO<br />
PETD<br />
ALY<br />
OMNI<br />
CFW<br />
NGAS<br />
WNR</strong></p>
<p>Here is another stock similar to CPE:<br />
<strong>KAZ </strong>- a US registered company ingaged in oil production and exploration in Kazakhstan. BMB Munai operates under its wholly owned subsidiary Emir Oil. The company is engaged in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas. The Aksaz, Dolinnoe, and Emir oil and gas fields in western Kazakhstan serve as the primary areas for exploration and development. It transports oil and gas via rail, barge, and pipeline through Russian territory.</p>
<p>Although the stock is losing its steam and there is no follow through in price, it is strong fundamentilly. With the market Cap. of ~60$ mil. it has 250$ mil. of proven oil and gas reserves.</p>
<p>I have gone long at 1.20$ and planning to hold this one forawhile. Next week they will aanounce their 3rd quarter results, that should be interesting.</p>
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		<title>Exited USD/JPY</title>
		<link>http://tradertony.com/exited-usdjpy/</link>
		<comments>http://tradertony.com/exited-usdjpy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Jan 2010 14:46:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tradertony</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Trade update]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[usd/jpy]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Exited USD/JPY here at 91.70. + 50 pts.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Exited USD/JPY here at 91.70.</p>
<p><span style="color: #008000;">+ 50 pts.</span></p>
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