Posts Tagged ‘oil’

S&P 500, EUR/USD, Oil, Gold

April 5th, 2010

There is nothing new to add about the S&P 500, we are going up as planned. The good thing for the bulls is that the April has been the best performing month for the last 5- 10 years. The bad thing is that the party is likely over – the signs of distribution are strong, and with the current hype in the media about the jobs report I also expect retail investors to jump in – this would be the time to get out. I personally will be looking for some shorts after the April options Expiration.

Best sectors to be invested in right now are financials and energy.

I expect turbulence to continue in the EUR/USD currency pair. To save the truth, I was looking for 1.37 this week. It looks like I was dead wrong – even though we’ve had a nice base in the pair, the jobs report has send it below support lines on Friday and the next likely target is 1.34 – 1.3350. See the clear H&S pattern on the 1H chart?

Oil and Gold are definitely on the roll here. I continue to believe the yellow metal is going to 1160$ short term. As for the Black Gold, I expect it to outperform all the other asset classes. My first target is 90$, looking for 100$ by the beginning of the Summer. The price action from the February to June of last year may serve as a guidance.

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Russian Stock Market Update. (27.08.09)

August 27th, 2009

Even though, I said the Russian Stocks are ready to BOOM, I was a little wrong with timing. It looks like at the near future we will be facing a profit taking across all major sectors. Oil has already failed to rise above 75$ (for the 4th time already!) and some negative news have send US stocks also lower. Thus, I would advice to sell your longs and step back for awhile.

rsx-28-08

The current action looks like a classic distribution by bigger players, who were unloading their longs into the crowd. For the past couple of days, every open was met by a selloff.

My projection, is that we are stuck in a conjection area (20.00-25.00) for some time. I expect the market to continue lower, and RSX to reach 21.00-20.00 at some point. That’s a great buying point, which should coincide with 950-960 in SPX.

spx-28-08
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Projection (SPX, Oil)

April 1st, 2009

Looking for longs above 800-805 and shorts below 785-780. Either way a potential reward is ~30 pts.

OIL is forming a really nice IHS formation on a 1 hour chart. It has also pullbacked right to 50% Fibonacci level. With the recent rice in GOLD and potential 30-40 pnt. rally in indexes, it is a very nice long play.

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