Posts Tagged ‘real trade’

Market update 7.10.

June 6th, 2010

Looking for 104$ (maybe even 103 sometime intraday) for SPY somatime Monday, Tuesday next week. After that expecting to see a reversal day and a rally to 106.50-107.00 later this week. After some rally looking for another push to 102-101$.

Need to watch MACD for any hints on divergence. Also please note that for this case to be valid, we need to stay below 108$ during trading early next week.

Here is another possibility:

This drop in SPY to ~104$ should coincede with the drop of CLF to 44.00 area. This is where I am planning to take some profits off the table. After that I would be looking for a rebound to ~48$ and then another push lower to 38-39.

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Shorted GS – Target 135 by April.

March 1st, 2010

Today I got the confirmation, that the market has stalled at current levels. The chances that we are going higher from here are limited. Strong resistance at 1113-1115 area (possible double top in the making).

From here we might trade sideways for awhile in a tight range of 30 pts. or go lower to my target of 1030. Only time will tell, which will happen, but one thing is for sure, longs is not the place to be at te moment.

I have desided to try my luck with GS. The stock has been under a severe pressure lately, there is ton of resistance above 160$, and should the next drop in the stock market occur, it will be one of the biggest losers.

Again, I am playing this with options. Bought some 150 April Puts @ 3.70. Looking for 135 by April Option Expiration. Stop is above 161$.

This trade is tricky, though, as we can fast to 150-148 are then reverse to break 160 resistance, so I will be monitoring this trade closely.

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Got the confirmation today. We are going UP.

February 25th, 2010

Today I have got the confirmation, I was talking about – the pullback is over for the time being, and the next stop for SPX is 1113 – 1120.

it also looks like EUR/USD has also reached the bottom for awhile. The pullbacks are keeping being bough back, MACD shows divergence.

As for the stocks, we’ve got an ugly opening today, but managed to make it all back. Also, a lot of stocks have closed the day with big gains, erasing the losses for the previous days. One of those stocks is POT.

This is a nice buy here a 110-111, with the stop below 105 and a next weeks target at 122. Short term target is ~116. You may also want trade through ATM Call options, as they offer a better R/R for a trade.

I personally have bough March Calls@110 at 5.05. Stop below today’s low. Looking for 122 next week, though it all depends on tomorrow’s price action. If SPX is not able to break above 1113 I am out of my position.

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List of Stocks to trade.

February 18th, 2010

Here are some interesting possibilities, with 20-30% upside potencial in the Basic Materials Industry:

CDII – buy at 1.55, stop below 1.45. Will be looking for a 100% return in a couple of months.

TIE – this is a real gem, check out the chart below. Looking for >50% return in a couple of months. Buy at 10-11. Stop below 10.40.

ATI – it represents the same chart pattern as TIE, though expected returns are not that exciting. Thus I would suggest buying some 45@March Call Options in this one. Target ~50$ by March Expiration.

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Real trades. Update. Market Overview.

February 17th, 2010

With the latest dollar uprise and the resistance above, there isn’t much chances for the market to rally hard by the end of this week. being an expiration week, there will be a lot of option related chop involved, so I would advice active traders to take a break from the market, or to a least lower the position size.

Today I have made several trades, according to my game plan. Didn’t trade GOOG though, as it lacks momentum and stayed almost flat through the day.

In fact, I was able to make only two trades (others were not executed, as the price hasn’t reached my target):

ABVT – bough February Calls@60 for 0.60$, sold for 1.60$, nice return for a one day’s work.

ADY – The main thing, I like this company is its finances – strong balance sheet, fast growth.I also liek the huge gap above that needs to be closed, thus my target for this stocks is 32$ by next options expiration. Have been accumulating Calls all day long. Average price 1.55 for March@25 calls.

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Exited Google Options. List of Stocks to trade

February 17th, 2010

Exited Google Options for a nice profit yesterday, made back what I have lost in KAZ and then some. Will be looking to buy some Feb@540 options at the pullback (if there is one) at the open today. The catalyst for the pullback might be the gap below and a resistance are at 1105 in SPX

Here is the whole list of long setups for the coming week:

Less risky.

WOOF, ABVT, SHLD, ATI, ADY, GOOG

More Risky
ACAD, AMD, APL, BKM, C, BPCG, CBI, CCOI, DPTR, HOG, INSP, JADE, CNA, JAH, HME, MSO

All the setups are almost the same, the idea is to buy a pullback in the rising stock.

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Google Trade Update

February 15th, 2010

Still holding the options I bough. Looking for 570$ to be hit this week.

Looking for 1100 in SPX by Tuesday/Wendsday.

EUR/USD target 1.38 this week, 1.40 next week.

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Back to options trading. Trader Tony LOVES Google!

February 11th, 2010

Well, I guess, trading small cap stocks isn’t just for me. It is not just because of the big hit I took on KAZ (I have lost -13% in that trade). I guess the mane reason is the lack of liquidity and the need to be patient. And by patient. I mean – really patient.

For most of the people that would be the best way to invest in the markets – you research fundamentals, you dig for information, you compare long-term charts and competition, and then you make the move. You invest in several companies with the idea to hold this positions, at least 4-6 months.

For me, as a trader, this route doesn’t work – my capital is my working tool, and I cannot afford stash it away for half of the year.

So, now I am back to trading options, which are great tools to achieve higher return with well managed risk.

The chart below indicates, that the pullback we witnessed for the past 2 weeks may well be over, and some kind of rebound is going to happen soon. And by buying 3  Google Calls@Feb for 1.98$ I am betting that it has already started.

My stop is below 525$. My Targets are 550 and 570 (gap close)

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Stock Market Update (17th November)

November 17th, 2009

After the reversal yesterday afternoon, the futures do not look that overbought anymore. In fact, it looks like we have found support at 1103 level. I am expecting more upside to come in the coming days with the first target at 1115. The second target is at 1125.

spx1-17-11 spx-17-11

I will be looking for shorts above 1120. The reason for that is a strong resistance on the weekly and the fact that EUR is not making new highs.

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Bump and Run Reversal formation on SPX, target 1080

November 10th, 2009

The rally yesterday was pretty good, now I would be looking for a pullback. The chart below suggests that a BARR (Bump and Run Reversal) chart pattern might be in play. In the nutshell, this pattern indicates accelerating trends, every last one faster than a previous one. This continues as long as the move up gets almost parabolic. The main trick here is to use money management and account sizing wisely, as you most definitely won’t catch the top.

This pattern usually works on the daily pretty well, so it would be interesting to see how it plays out on the 30-min. chart.

spx-10-10

Numbers 1, 2, 3 indicate trend acceleration. Target 1080-1082. This is a pretty good area to enter longs, for my 1120 target.

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