Posts Tagged ‘resistance’

« Older Entries

Market update 7.10.

June 6th, 2010

Looking for 104$ (maybe even 103 sometime intraday) for SPY somatime Monday, Tuesday next week. After that expecting to see a reversal day and a rally to 106.50-107.00 later this week. After some rally looking for another push to 102-101$.

Need to watch MACD for any hints on divergence. Also please note that for this case to be valid, we need to stay below 108$ during trading early next week.

Here is another possibility:

This drop in SPY to ~104$ should coincede with the drop of CLF to 44.00 area. This is where I am planning to take some profits off the table. After that I would be looking for a rebound to ~48$ and then another push lower to 38-39.

  • Share/Bookmark

No comments »

Posted in Market Overview, Trade update

Tags:

Cliffs Natural Resources (CLF)

June 3rd, 2010

CLF looks like ready to break one way or the other. It is good for at least 15%-20% move from today’s market price. In case of more downside, the target would be 40-45$ in two weeks. Stop at 54$. If we break above 54$, then there is a good chance CLF is going to 60-65$ with the rest of the market. So, in general, no matter which way you chose, metal stocks are offering really good reward.

  • Share/Bookmark

No comments »

Posted in Investing Ideas, Potential Setups

Tags:

Market looks tired here. Pullback to 1140 is comming.

March 19th, 2010

Stock market is looking tired here. I am seeing that some sectors are ready for a pullback (mining, financils, tech).

Now is a good place to establish shorts at 1160 with the stop at 1163. Target 1150 by Monday.

The index might reverse down to 1140-1130 during the next week. That would be a nice area to establish long positions. A drop below 1130 would make me very cautious if I were holding longs.

  • Share/Bookmark

No comments »

Posted in Market Overview, Potential Setups

Tags:

Stock Market Update.

March 13th, 2010

Despite all the sceptincs there is still up room to go for this stock market. The current rise won’t stop until someone who is propping it up will stop doing this. The past week was inline with my analysis. We have got a small reversal in the nightsession on Monday on ES, then continued sideways-higher all week.

The next week is Option Expiration week. Looking for some consolidation in 1160-1140 area. After that another push higher going into April. The major support is now at 1130, so until this one is taken out, the bullish case is alive and well.

EUR/USD is also stuck in the channel. It is finally braking out from the 1.3750-1.3450 zone, where we have been stuck for a month. I would be looking for a small pullback here at the beginning of the week. Then another push into 1.39, maybe 1.40.

Longer term charts suggest that the possible target for this coming reversal is 1.42, after that we will move back down. Though, this is just a pure speculation at this point.

  • Share/Bookmark

No comments »

Posted in Market Overview

Tags:

Stock Market Update. Another comparison.

March 10th, 2010

Market is in consolidation mode as projected. Compare the current price action with the one which took place 3 years ago.

After a consolidation (the like we are witnessing today), the market continued higher, even though the indicators suggested it was way overbought.

  • Share/Bookmark

No comments »

Posted in Market Overview

Tags:

Stock Market Overview.

March 7th, 2010

Short term view on the market. Areas to watch closely – 1130 and 1115. Expecting to see some pullback next wee, but not more than 1-2% from Friday close. Then a rise further continues. I would personally like to see some base building before we approach 1150.

This is a longer term chart for SPX going back to August 2006. Look how the both circled areas look alike. If we use comparison analysis, we should get to 1200 by April Options Expiration. Then some sideways action is possible, as there is a ton of resistance above 1200 area. Though we might get as high as 1230-1250. I am really clueless, what happens next, maybe “sell in May and go away” will be the thing to do this year. We will see.

For the time being I am bullish on the market, unless we sell off below 1105/1085 in the next 2 weeks. If that happens, I will reevaluate my longer term view.

  • Share/Bookmark

1 comment »

Posted in Market Overview

Tags:

EUR/USD Update.

March 3rd, 2010

1st Resistance at 1.3490. If broken, traget 1.3820. The chart below shows that we are still stuck in a channel.

  • Share/Bookmark

No comments »

Posted in Trade update

Tags:

SPX Update. Vacuum up to 1128-1130 area.

March 2nd, 2010

Markets kept going up slowly during yesterday’s trading session. We are now right below the resistance. should a breakout occur on Tuesday, we are going to 1130.

If there is now breakout today, I would be looking for a pullback to 1105. After that it’s anyone’s guess, what will happen next – a break up to 1130 and possibility of 1150, or a breakdown to 1080-1085.

Here is also a Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) chart below. It suggest that there is a lot of Vacuum in the 15 pt. range right above us. So, should the move up happen, it will be FAST.

Still holding my GS puts, as the stock remains under severe pressure.

  • Share/Bookmark

No comments »

Posted in Market Overview, Trade update

Tags:

Shorted GS – Target 135 by April.

March 1st, 2010

Today I got the confirmation, that the market has stalled at current levels. The chances that we are going higher from here are limited. Strong resistance at 1113-1115 area (possible double top in the making).

From here we might trade sideways for awhile in a tight range of 30 pts. or go lower to my target of 1030. Only time will tell, which will happen, but one thing is for sure, longs is not the place to be at te moment.

I have desided to try my luck with GS. The stock has been under a severe pressure lately, there is ton of resistance above 160$, and should the next drop in the stock market occur, it will be one of the biggest losers.

Again, I am playing this with options. Bought some 150 April Puts @ 3.70. Looking for 135 by April Option Expiration. Stop is above 161$.

This trade is tricky, though, as we can fast to 150-148 are then reverse to break 160 resistance, so I will be monitoring this trade closely.

  • Share/Bookmark

No comments »

Posted in Potential Setups

Tags:

Remaining cautious here.

February 27th, 2010

With the SPX being unable to take out overnight high at 1108, and not reaching my target of 1113, I have closed POT Calls for a loss. Don’t have any position at the moment – will wait till the sideways action resolves one way or the other. The market is currently stuck in a 10 pt. range, the breakout above 1108 will resume the uptrend, the breakdown below 1098 will resume downtrend.

My potential long would be POT, potential short is GS.

Have a nice weekend.

  • Share/Bookmark

No comments »

Posted in Market Overview

Tags: