Posts Tagged ‘rising wedge’

SPX, GOLD

June 28th, 2010

It looks like SPX is poised to rebound to 1095-1100. After that I would expect the continuation of the downtrend. If you are looking for longer term investments, Gold is offering some pretty amazing buying opportunity. My bold prediction would be a rise of 20% in the next 2 months.

My advice would be to accumulate position in the 1245-1255 range with the stop below 1235. First target on this move would be 1300-1310. After that I expect a minor pullback a another sharp rise to 1450-1500. That should result in formation of a climax top and a sharp reversal.

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The Day after Tomorrow. Equities overview.

January 5th, 2010

The current price action is inline with my expectations. The projection about Financials turned out to be spot on, with the general market rallying “only” 1,60%, while the XLF index has gained more than 2,00%. So, we can say that the banks are pushing the market higher.

I have no idea of how long this party will be going, so I am placing my bets accordingly. Looking to short SPX futures near the 1135 area or on a breakdown below 1130 (see the chart below). Looking to add on the way down, otherwise will close for a loss.

spx2 5.01spx 5.01

SPX is continuing forming its rising wedge. To say fair enough, the chances of the sudden rise and the sudden fall are equal. For now I’ll stick with my view of a sudden collapse and will be looking to place short bets at a 1125 – 1135 area (see the chart below). There is also a possible Wyckoff Formation in the making.

gold 5.01GOLD also indicates, that the current rise might be done. See the resisting trend lines above? So, if you are into gold trading, I would suggest to short at 1122-1130.

PS. GOLD and SPX are trading at exactly the same level right now.

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PCU needs to corerct (7.01.2009)

January 7th, 2009

pcu-701

PCU has formed something like the rising wedge here, should be good short from this levels (would prefer to short from ~18.60 though) to 16.50-16.00 in a couple of days.

As for the broader market, if SPX is unable to close the gap, then my target of 900 stays intact.

At the moment it has fomed a potential double bottom, needs to break below 920-918 to continue downtrend.

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