Posts Tagged ‘spx futures’

More upside?! (2.08.09)

August 2nd, 2009

As I was writing before, the market is on the edge right now. The current situation is similar to one, when S&P 500 was trading at 800-900 level (if you check out my posts from that time, you’ll find out that I got burnt pretty badly). Even though the market seems to be overbought, nothing pushes it down and every minor dip is being bought. This is a real nightmare for bears.

My projection is that we’ll see another big push higher, maybe to 1030-1040 area. Otherwise we might pullback to 970-960 and then continue higher. This will depend on market behavior at the beginning of the coming week. If we are going higher, then I believe the move up will happen really fast, it will be a capitulation move for the bears. Looking for shorts will be a good idea after that.

spx-2-08 spx1-2-08

Another interesting fact is that NASDAQ is quite outperforming S&P 500. The tech market has already made back 50% of its losses made from the top (see the chart), when the  S&P 500 has more than 100 points to go to reach the same area. So, this time general sector must outperform tech stocks.

ndx2-2-08 spx3-2-08

Also take a look at GOLD and currencies, as they might give you idea of where the money is going. We are forming a nice base in bouth GOLD and EUR/USD, ready to break out large. I will post more detail in my next post.

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S&P 500 Futures Real Trade

July 7th, 2009

Look at the chart below. See that perfect IHS ?

intraday spx 7,07

By buying ES (S&P 500) futures now, there is a good chance you can make 15-20 points by trading day’s end.

Target ~910.

Stop 887-888.

Risk/Reward = 1/3

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