It looks like SPX is poised to rebound to 1095-1100. After that I would expect the continuation of the downtrend. If you are looking for longer term investments, Gold is offering some pretty amazing buying opportunity. My bold prediction would be a rise of 20% in the next 2 months.

My advice would be to accumulate position in the 1245-1255 range with the stop below 1235. First target on this move would be 1300-1310. After that I expect a minor pullback a another sharp rise to 1450-1500. That should result in formation of a climax top and a sharp reversal.

Need to watch MACD for any hints on divergence. Also please note that for this case to be valid, we need to stay below 108$ during trading early next week.

Here is another possibility:

This drop in SPY to ~104$ should coincede with the drop of CLF to 44.00 area. This is where I am planning to take some profits off the table. After that I would be looking for a rebound to ~48$ and then another push lower to 38-39.

After a strong close yesterday, the futures made a little pullback overnight, forming a flag formation. I expect we will hit 1090-1093 today. If that level is taken out, next stop is 1105-1110. I would be cautious at this level, and take some profits off the table. Also place tight stops to protect your profits. For those who are looking to place some short bets, look at mining sector.

EUR/USD is also due to a pullback. First target is 1.2420-1.230.

One of the stocks to consider to play this rebound is ADSK.

The stock is in clear uptrend. It has plenty of support at 27$. My first target would be 31-32. This should coincide with the S&P 500 index at 1100-1120.

The price action for the EUR/USD is not so clear. A lot of uncertainty regarding this pair short term.

Right now the pair is  in a clear downtrend (4H chart). If it doesn’t break above 1.26-1.27 come Monday, then it would be a good idea to place a short. First target 1.2430, second – 1.23. If that doesn’t hold, we will eventually see 1.20 soon.

We have got to 1200 by April OPEX, and now we are tumbling heavily. To be honest, I was not sure, that this is going to happen so soon. But here we are – all the gains for 2010 are erased, panic selling everywhere, VIX skyrocketed, investors are scared and don’t know what to expect next.

Guess what happens next couple of weeks?

We are going higher. That is right. I believe we should test 1150 a least, maybe will go as high as 1170. This volatility is great for a skilled trader. For an average investor it is really a mess, so if you are not comfortable trading here – I would suggest reducing you position size.

Check out this echo from 2007 for more clues:

The next week is Option Expiration week. Looking for some consolidation in 1160-1140 area. After that another push higher going into April. The major support is now at 1130, so until this one is taken out, the bullish case is alive and well.

EUR/USD is also stuck in the channel. It is finally braking out from the 1.3750-1.3450 zone, where we have been stuck for a month. I would be looking for a small pullback here at the beginning of the week. Then another push into 1.39, maybe 1.40.

Longer term charts suggest that the possible target for this coming reversal is 1.42, after that we will move back down. Though, this is just a pure speculation at this point.

Short term view on the market. Areas to watch closely – 1130 and 1115. Expecting to see some pullback next wee, but not more than 1-2% from Friday close. Then a rise further continues. I would personally like to see some base building before we approach 1150.

This is a longer term chart for SPX going back to August 2006. Look how the both circled areas look alike. If we use comparison analysis, we should get to 1200 by April Options Expiration. Then some sideways action is possible, as there is a ton of resistance above 1200 area. Though we might get as high as 1230-1250. I am really clueless, what happens next, maybe “sell in May and go away” will be the thing to do this year. We will see.

For the time being I am bullish on the market, unless we sell off below 1105/1085 in the next 2 weeks. If that happens, I will reevaluate my longer term view.

In case we don’t hold the support at 1090, this might be a sign of more downside to come near term. Targets on the downside are 1030-1010.